The first half of 2024 was characterized by weak demand and oversupply in the European polymer market, leading to significant price fluctuations. Below is a summary of the key trends and expected changes:
📉 Weak Demand and Oversupply: The first half of 2024 saw low demand and oversupply, causing instability in the European polymer market.
🌊 Price Waves: Over the past two years, four price waves have been observed, each lasting 22-24 weeks.
📉 Current Trend: Prices are currently in a downward phase, and due to reduced imports, some polymer prices may fall below import prices.
🌞 Summer Stagnation: Prices are likely to stagnate at low levels during the summer due to the usual summer holidays, potentially lasting 4-6 weeks.
📈 Seasonal Demand: From August, prices are expected to rise again with the seasonal increase in demand.
📊 Conditions for Sustained Growth: Price stabilization and sustained growth are expected with a significant increase in demand and a reduction in polymer production.
🌍 Central European Changes: New logistics hubs and capacity expansions are anticipated in Central Europe, which may reshape the market.
🛠️ Strategic Flexibility: Maintaining flexibility and correctly identifying cycles are crucial for a successful procurement strategy.
📊 Focus on flexibility and correct cycle identification. 📈
Source: myCEPPI
László Bűdy
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